According to the latest data released by the Reserve Bank of
India (RBI), the House Price Index (HPI) rose 9.8% year on year (yoy) in the
third quarter of the Financial Year (FY) 2015-16. This would be the quarter
that ended on 31st December, 2015. This is the lowest ever rise that the index
has shown. What does it mean for you? Let’s find out.
What is HPI?
HPI was created by the RBI to measure the change in the price
of residential housing in India. It is meant to serve as a gauge for house
price trends in the country. HPI was created in 2010-11.
What does it cover?
HPI considers the transacted amount for the house, based on
registration details available in Government houses across 10 cities including
Delhi, Mumbai, Bengaluru and Kolkata. The RBI considers the date you register
the house as the date that the house was sold. The data is analyzed and compiled
based on the transaction price mentioned during registration. This would be the
price declared by you, the buyer.
How is it calculated?
Seemingly obvious, it is an average of house prices across
India. First, the price per square meter (PSM) of all the houses is considered
and a simple average is taken. For this the houses are classified into small,
medium and large, based on the floor space area. Median prices are considered.
Next, the percentage of houses transacted in each of the categories is considered.
This is taken as the weight. Finally, price relatives are calculated based on
the average PSM for small, medium and large houses in each ward of each city.
What does the current data indicate?
In the quarter that ended on 31st December, 2015, the overall
rate of increase in the index has fallen below the 10% mark. This is for the
first time in almost 4 years. This is just like the Consumer Price Index (CPI),
where fall in percentages indicates slower growth. So, house prices have
increased but at a slower pace than before.
Which are the cities that stand out?
Out of the 10 cities, six cities showed a slow-down with
regard to the growth in house prices. Kolkata saw the slowest increase in the
third quarter of the FY2015-16. Chennai is another city that recorded a modest
rise among the top 5 cities. The city’s HPI grew by 8.2% yoy. Bengaluru was the
city that registered the highest increase in growth in its house prices. The
city clocked a 12.5% rise in its HPI. Mumbai was a close second, with a growth
of 11.1%.
Why is this the right time to buy a house as well as before
you go for the Home
Loans?
Here are three reasons why you could look at buying a house
now:
House prices have come down – With unsold inventories in
several cities, it is no surprise that house prices seem to be coming down. If
demand doesn’t pick up, more slides cannot be ruled out.
Interest is showing a downward trend – Interest rates have
fallen significantly in the last 2 years. Consider this – RBI’s repo rate has
come down from 8% to 6.5% now. This would mean lower interest rates on your
Home Loan.
Protection in place – The Real Estate Bill has now become an
Act as of 1st May 2016. This should help protect home buyers.
Buying a house is not a simple process and requires a lot of
due diligence. A lot depends on your financial situation. This should be given
prime importance over all other factors. Make sure you think it through before
you go for that Home Loan.
[Source: https://blog.bankbazaar.com/house-price-inflation-eases/]
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